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Alvark Tokyo vs San-en NeoPhoenix, B. League, Japan 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Toyota Arena Tokyo
Alvark Tokyo
San-en NeoPhoenix

San-en NeoPhoenix look to outclass Alvark

  • Alvark Tokyo are 6-4 in their last 10 outings, while San-en NeoPhoenix are 9-1 in their last 10 and come in on a strong winning run.
  • San-en hold the stronger offensive numbers - 84.4 points per game, 45.9% shooting, 10.3 offensive rebounds, and 7.9 steals per game.
  • Alvark show the better defensive profile - allowing 77.2 points per game with opponents shooting 43.3% from the field and 32.0% from three.
San-en NeoPhoenix to win and cover the spread (+2.5)
Tournament: B. League, Japan 2025-26
Live Streaming: AI Score App
Venue: Toyota Arena Tokyo
Tip Off: 13:35:00
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Alvark Tokyo vs San-en NeoPhoenix Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
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Alvark Tokyo vs San-en NeoPhoenix Match Prediction & Analysis

Alvark Tokyo enter this matchup in a difficult stretch, losing four of their last five games, including a narrow 76-77 defeat against Ryukyu in their most recent outing. Despite the recent dip, they remain one of the better defensive teams in the league, allowing only 77.2 points per game while holding opponents to 43.3% shooting. 

Offensively, Alvark average 80.0 points per game with solid ball movement, but their success usually depends on controlling the tempo and limiting second-chance opportunities. Home court helps, but recent form limits the advantage, making this a more competitive game than the standings suggest.

Current Standings: Alvark Tokyo sit 6th with a 30-14 record, while San-en NeoPhoenix are 12th at 25-19 in B1 League 25/26. The standings favor Alvark on season performance, but the gap looks thinner than the recent form suggests. San-en arrive with stronger momentum.

Head-to-Head Record (Last 5 games): The last five head-to-head meetings are split 3-2 in favor of San-en NeoPhoenix. Across those games, the teams combined for an average of 154.6 total points. Alvark Tokyo averaged 76.2 points per game in the matchup, while San-en NeoPhoenix averaged 78.4 points per game. 

Alvark Tokyo vs San-en NeoPhoenix Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Sebastian Saiz 17.4 7.3 1.5 0.8/1
David Nwaba 19.9 7.5 3.9 2.1/1.1

Teams Preview

Alvark Tokyo Preview

Alvark Tokyo step into this fixture after a 76-77 loss to Ryukyu, which summed up their recent drop in sharpness. 

They still have a strong season base at 80.0 points per game and only 77.2 allowed, but the recent results show that their margin for error has narrowed. Four losses in their last five is not the profile of a team entering a difficult matchup with confidence.

The numbers suggest a defense-first team that needs control, not pace. Alvark shoot 45.3% from the field and 36.1% from three, while averaging 20.9 assists and 11.3 turnovers. 

Brandon Davies, Sebastian Saiz, and Kai Toews carried the scoring load in the latest visible game, but the bigger concern is whether Alvark can keep San-en out of transition and protect the defensive glass. If they lose the rebounding battle, they will struggle to stay in rhythm. 

San-en NeoPhoenix Preview

San-en NeoPhoenix arrive after a 95-81 win over Hokkaido, and the form line is hard to ignore. They have won 9 of their last 10 visible matches, which is exactly the kind of momentum that matters in this matchup. The offense is the clear strength, with 84.4 points per game, 45.9% shooting, and 10.3 offensive rebounds per game giving them extra possessions.

The defensive side is less stable, as San-en allow 82.1 points per game and 46.4% shooting to opponents, so they are not built to win a low-event game. 

That said, the depth and shot creation are useful here, especially with Yante Maten, Ryusei Sasaki, Sota Uura, and David Nwaba contributing in the latest win. San-en profile as the more dangerous team if the game turns into a scoring contest, because they create more second chances and pressure the ball better than Alvark.  

Alvark Tokyo vs San-en NeoPhoenix Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Taiki Osakabe
SG Kai Toews
SF Shuto Ando
PF Brandon Davies
C Sebastian Saiz

Position Player Name
PG Dai Nemoto
SG Hayato Wakugawa
SF David Nwaba
PF Yante Maten
C Tshilidzi Nephawe

ALVARK TOKYO vs SAN-EN NEOPHOENIX

Winning Prediction

San-en NeoPhoenix expected to win this contest with the stronger current form, the better scoring profile, and the slight head-to-head edge. Alvark Tokyo can lean on home court and defense, but that is not enough to offset the visitors' momentum unless San-en's efficiency drops sharply. 

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Author: Vishnu Reddy