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China vs Indonesia, Basketball Women's Asian Games, 2026, Today Match Prediction

Aichi International Arena
China
Indonesia

Can China outclass Indonesia?

  • China averages 100.0% home wins, 117.3 points per game.
  • Indonesia averages 100.0%, 49.3 points per game.
  • In the last five matches, China have 4 wins, 1 loss, and Indonesia have won 3, 2 losses.
China to win.
Tournament: Basketball Women's Asian Games, 2026
Live Streaming: DAZN
Venue: Aichi International Arena
Tip Off: 15:30:00
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China vs Indonesia Basteball Odds

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China vs Indonesia Match Prediction & Analysis

China will face Indonesia on September 21 in their final Group A game at the Aichi International Arena. China enter after a dominant opening win over Thailand, with Yang Shuyu leading the way with 21 points, seven rebounds and five assists. Indonesia also secured a win over Thailand and have already qualified for the quarter-finals, making this game important for their seeding.

In their last three head-to-head matchups, China has won 3 matches, while Indonesia has won 0 matches. 

China vs Indonesia Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Yang Shuyu 21.0 7.0 5.0 0.6/0.2
Kim Pierre Louis 14.8 7.0 0.3 0.8/0.8

Teams Preview

China Preview

China Women made a dominant start to their 2026 Asian Games campaign, defeating Thailand 111–46 in Group A.

Yang Shuyu came up big offensively, contributing 21 points, 7 rebounds, 5 assists, while teammate Luo Xinyu added 16 points, 4 rebounds, 2 assists. Chen Yujie with 16 points, 8 rebounds, 7 assists. Chen Mingling defended the paint with 9 rebounds, 15 points, 3 assists.

Offensively, China shot 53.3% from the field including 43.3% from deep, and 75.0% from the free throw line, with 33 assists. On the defensive end they outrebounded 51-35, with 13 steals, 5 blocks.

Thailand’s heavy defeat to China leaves them with two losses in Group A, meaning they will finish third in the group and miss the quarterfinals. The result also confirms Indonesia’s progression to the last eight. China, meanwhile, move into their final group game against Indonesia with confidence and top spot at stake.

Indonesia Preview

Indonesia opened their 2026 Asian Games campaign with a hard-fought 61–52 victory over Thailand at Aichi International Arena.

Kim Pierre Louis drove the game forward, scoring 14 points, 16 rebounds, 3 steals, and 6 assists, Faizzatus Shoimah added 12 points, 3 rebounds. Nathania Claresta Orville put up 8 points, 3 assists. Dewa Ayu Made Sriartha Kusuma defended the paint with 11 points, 8 rebounds, and 3 assists.

Offensively, Indonesia scored 34.5% from the field goal, including 27.3% from the three-point line and 56.3% from the free throw line, with 20 assists. Defensively, they secured the board 50-36, with 8 steals, and 3 blocks.

Indonesia’s win over Thailand gives them valuable momentum and confidence ahead of their next Group A match against China. However, they will face a much stronger opponent and must improve their offensive execution, defensive discipline and rebounding. Indonesia will also rely on Kimberley Pierre-Louis to provide strength inside.

China vs Indonesia Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Zhang Manman
SG Liu Yutong
SF Luo Xinyu
PF Yang Shuyu
C Chen Mingling

Position Player Name
PG Kim Pierre Louis
SG Faizzatus Shoimah
SF Dewa Ayu Made Sriartha Kusuma
PF Nathania Claresta Orville
C Agustin Elya Gradita Retong

CHINA vs INDONESIA

Winning Prediction

China are expected to have the edge against Indonesia. China opened their campaign with a dominant win over Thailand, while Indonesia also secured a victory in their opener. China’s greater scoring depth and defensive strength could make the difference.

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Author: Vishnu Reddy