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Guangzhou Long Lions vs Shanxi Loongs, CBA 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Tianhe Gymnasium (Guangzhou)
Guangzhou Long Lions
Shanxi Loongs

Will Shanxi Zhongyu outplay Guangzhou?

  • Guangzhou are 2-8 in their last 10 games, while Shanxi are in better form, holding a 6-4 record over the same period.
  • Defensively, Guangzhou allow 88.9 points per game, while Shanxi concede 87.6, giving the away team a slightly better defensive average.
  • In their most recent matches, Guangzhou shot 41% from the field, while Shanxi finished at 54%, showing higher offensive efficiency from Shanxi coming into this game.
Shanxi Zhongyu to win.
Tournament: CBA 2025-26
Live Streaming: Courtside 1891
Venue: Tianhe Gymnasium (Guangzhou)
Tip Off: 17:05:00
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Guangzhou Long Lions vs Shanxi Loongs Basteball Odds

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Guangzhou Long Lions vs Shanxi Loongs Match Prediction & Analysis

Guangzhou return home for this matchup but arrive with weak recent form and clear defensive issues. The team holds an 11-16 record and has lost most of its recent games, showing difficulty against opponents with strong inside scoring. In several recent losses, Guangzhou allowed high shooting percentages near the basket, which remains one of their biggest problems. Playing at Tianhe Gymnasium gives them some advantage, but current performance suggests limited stability on both ends of the floor.

Shanxi enter the game in better condition after winning key recent matchups and maintaining a more balanced style of play. Their offense has been more efficient, averaging over 90 points per game, while their defense allows fewer points than Guangzhou. The team also shows stronger ball movement and rebounding numbers, which often decide close games in this league. Recent results indicate better control of tempo and shot selection.

Statistically, Shanxi hold the edge in scoring efficiency, field goal percentage, and defensive consistency. Their ability to score in the paint and secure rebounds creates a difficult matchup for Guangzhou, who struggle to protect the rim. If Shanxi maintain their current offensive rhythm, they are likely to control the pace and keep the scoring margin in their favor.

Shanxi Zhongyu are 11th in the standings with a 14-13 record, keeping them in the playoff race with a positive win balance. Guangzhou sit 15th with an 11-16 record and are currently outside the qualification positions, needing strong results in the remaining games to improve their position.

Shanxi have won four of the last five meetings against Guangzhou. The average total score in those games is 207.6 points. Shanxi scored 117.8 points per game in this span, while Guangzhou averaged 89.8, showing a clear scoring advantage for Shanxi in recent meetings.

Guangzhou Long Lions vs Shanxi Loongs Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Lindell Wigginton 22.2 4.5 7.0 0.6/0.3
Hamidou Diallo 20.9 5.6 3.4 2.0/1.1

Teams Preview

Guangzhou Long Lions Preview

Guangzhou head into this fixture after a 97-86 defeat against Liaoning, where the team shot only 41% from the field and struggled to maintain scoring consistency across quarters. L. Wigginton led with 19 points and 8 assists, while Xu Xin added 15 points and 10 rebounds, but overall offensive efficiency remained below league average. The team also finished with only 14 assists, showing limited ball movement against stronger defenses.

Form has been a major concern, with eight losses in the last ten games. Guangzhou average 86.6 points per game this season while allowing 88.9, indicating a negative scoring margin. Their three-point shooting rate of 35.9% is acceptable, but defensive field goal allowance above 44% continues to hurt them. At home they rely heavily on perimeter scoring, but rebounding and transition defense remain weaknesses.

Shanxi Loongs Preview

Shanxi arrive in this match after a 107-102 win over Beijing Royal Fighters, shooting 54% from the field and 68% on two-point attempts. Hamidou Diallo led the team with 31 points and 10 rebounds, while Jia Mingru and Yumiti Sedak both scored 16, showing strong scoring depth. Shanxi also recorded 25 assists, reflecting efficient offensive structure.

The team averages 90.1 points per game this season while allowing 87.6, giving them a positive scoring balance compared to Guangzhou. Shanxi shoot 47.5% from the field and 36.5% from three, both higher than the home side. Defensively they allow only 31.8% from three-point range, which could be important against a Guangzhou team that depends on perimeter scoring. Depth and scoring efficiency give Shanxi a clear statistical edge.

Guangzhou Long Lions vs Shanxi Loongs Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Kailun Guo
SG Liu Yancheng
SF Justin Holiday
PF Erik Thomas
C Xu Xin

Position Player Name
PG Jia Mingru
SG Hamidou Diallo
SF Ning Zhang
PF Ibrahima Fall-Faye
C Liu Chuanxing

GUANGZHOU LONG LIONS vs SHANXI LOONGS

Winning Prediction

Shanxi Zhongyu have the more reliable offense and arrive in better form, while Guangzhou have been inconsistent and weak on defense. Shanxi also shoot at a higher percentage and have more scoring depth, which gives the away team the advantage in this matchup.

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Author: Eeshan Chettri