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Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury, WNBA 2026, Today Match Prediction

Gainbridge Fieldhouse Indianapolis
Indiana Fever
Phoenix Mercury

Can Indiana Fever topple Phoenix Mercury?

  • Phoenix Mercury have a 54.4% win rate against the Indiana Fever.
  • Indiana Fever averages 84.7 points at home while playing against the Phoenix Mercury.
  • In the last five matches, Phoenix Mercury has won one and lost four matches.
Indiana Fever to win and cover the spread (-7.5).
Tournament: WNBA 2026
Live Streaming: Courtside 1891
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse Indianapolis
Tip Off: 05:00:00
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Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
1xBet 1.28 3.55

Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Match Prediction & Analysis

The Indiana Fever and Phoenix Mercury meet again on June 25 after Indiana’s 86-77 comeback win. The Fever’s fast paced offense and strong second half play make them a tough matchup, while Phoenix must sustain its early game intensity for four quarters. 

If Indiana controls the tempo and gets another balanced scoring effort, they should have the edge in a competitive rematch.

Indiana Fever is currently 6th in the Women’s National Basketball Association, with a 10-7 record, while the Phoenix Mercury is 12th in the standings with a 5-13 record.

In their last five head-to-head matchups, Phoenix Mercury has won two matches, while the Indiana Fever has won three matches and is currently riding a one game winning streak. 

Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Caitlin Clark 13.3 2.3 4.0 0.7/0.3
Kahleah Cooper 18.0 2.0 0.5 0.5/2.0

Teams Preview

Indiana Fever Preview

The Indiana Fever showed resilience and star power in their 86-77 victory over the Phoenix Mercury, overcoming a dreadful start to secure a much needed win. Indiana scored only six points in the first quarter, but completely flipped the game with a 35 point second quarter before dominating the third period 30-11.

Caitlin Clark led the charge with 24 points and 9 assists. Kelsey Mitchell added 22 points, while Monique Billings contributed a valuable double-double with 14 points and 10 rebounds.

Offensively, Indiana shot 41.5% from the field, 29.4% from the perimeter and 75.9% from the free throw line. Defensively, they controlled the boards 39-30, limiting second chance opportunities through 27 defensive rebounds. 

Their 6 steals also caused key momentum swings and forced the visitors to commit 12 turnovers and 25 fouls.

The victory snapped Indiana’s two game losing streak and improved their record to 10-7, reinforcing their status as one of the Eastern Conference’s stronger contenders. Overall, the team averages 98 points per game, while dishing out 22.7 assists. Defensively, they record 30.7 rebounds and allow opponents to just 81 points per game. 

Phoenix Mercury Preview

The Phoenix Mercury started brilliantly but could not sustain their momentum in an 86-77 loss to the Indiana Fever. Phoenix raced out to a dominant first quarter, holding Indiana to just six points, however, the Mercury struggled to contain Indiana’s offense after the opening period and were outscored heavily over the next two quarters.

Kahleah Cooper led the scoring with 20 points, while Alyssa Thomas added 19 points and 9 assists. They were the only two players who managed to score in double figures, while the rest of the remaining cast failed to provide enough support. 

Offensively, Phoenix shot 41.2% from the field, 20% from the perimeter and 76.2% from the free throw line. Defensively, they got outrebounded 39-30 on the boards, caused multiple turnovers and made defensive lapses in key moments.

Despite the defeat, Phoenix showed flashes of why they remain a dangerous team. Their defensive pressure disrupted Indiana early, but turnovers and inconsistent half court execution allowed the Fever to seize control.

Overall, the team averages 97 points per game, while dishing out 23 assists. Defensively, they record 38 rebounds and allow opponents to just 82 points per game. 

Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Caitlin Clark
SG Kelsey Mitchell
SF Myisha Tyelle
PF Monique Billings
C Aliyah Boston

Position Player Name
PG Kahleah Cooper
SG Lexi Held
SF Noemie Brochant
PF Alyssa Thomas
C Kyara Linskens

INDIANA FEVER vs PHOENIX MERCURY

Winning Prediction

Indiana enters the rematch with momentum and home-court advantage. Phoenix must avoid another second half collapse, but the Fever’s offensive firepower and defensive adjustments make them the favorites to win. We are backing Indiana Fever to win this matchup. 

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Author: Vishnu Reddy