Italy vs Lithuania, Fiba Basketball World Cup 2027, European Qualifiers, Today Match Prediction
Italy
Lithuania
Can Italy improve their H2H record to 6-3 as they take on Lithuania next?
- Italy averaged 87.4 and 37.0 rebounds per game in the 2025 European qualifiers.
- Lithuania averaged 91.8 points in the FIBA WC Qualifiers.
- Lithuania hold a 6-2 advantage over Italy in the FIBA games.
Lithuania to win and cover the spread (-6.5).
| Tournament: | Fiba Basketball World Cup 2027, European Qualifiers |
| Live Streaming: | Countryside 1891 |
| Venue: | Bologna, Virtus Arena |
| Tip Off: | 23:30:00 |
Italy vs Lithuania Basteball Odds
| Bookmaker | Team A | Team B |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.85 | 1.35 |
Italy vs Lithuania Match Prediction & Analysis
The Italy men’s team will play hosts to Lithuania in the FIBA World Cup Qualifiers group stage encounter. Lithuania are coming back on a decent run in the qualifiers, while Italy, currently on a roller-coaster campaign in FIBA competition, look to get a breakthrough victory.
Current Standings: Italy are placed at top spot with a 4-1 record, while Lithuania are standing at second spot with a 3-2 record.
Head-to-Head Record (Last 5 Matches): Five matches listed between Italy and Lithuania. Lithuania won three out of five games, scoring 82 points per game and allowing 73 points per game. The average total between Italy and Lithuania in the last match is 155.
Italy vs Lithuania Player Stats
| Player Name | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Steals/Blocks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriele Procida | 12.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.8/0.2 |
| Ignas Sargiunas | 17.4 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.8/0.4 |
Teams Preview
Italy Preview
Italy’s men’s team resume their final push for the 2027 FIBA World Cup. The Italian side will play their next game against Lithuania. They also appeared in the international friendly games and won both games convincingly. Italy last participated in the 2025 EuroBasket and had a playoff run. Italy lost to Slovenia in the round of 16. They won four games out of five during the group stage.
Italy enter the contest with a 102-83 victory against Iceland. They stretched the lead to 20 points in the third quarter and Iceland didn’t recover. Italy should be proud of their performance. They are entering the qualifying round as Europe’s third-best team. Italy averaged 70.2 points per game and allowed 62.0 points per game. They shot 41.7% from the floor and 33.8% from the three-point line. They were fourth in blocks per game (2.8) and steals per game (9.5).
Italy were the fourth-best side in three-point shooting. They have the least odds to qualify for the FIBA World Cup. Italy averaged the competition's lowest turnovers (9.8). Italy’s roster will be the same as they are eying a spot in the FIBA World Cup. After the EuroBasket, Italy also played two international friendlies and won it. Gabriele Procida could be an offensive threat against Lithuania. The 24-year-old averaged 12.2 points in the 2025 qualifiers. We are backing him to score 20 or more points in the home fixture.
Lithuania Preview
Lithuania will eye to spoil the home advantage of Italy when they play their FIBA World Cup qualifiers game on Sunday night. Their next clash is against in-form Italy. They head into the contest back off a 105-85 victory against Great Britain. Lithuania built a 59-41 lead at halftime. The hosts would be optimistic to make an impactful performance in the next assignment.
Lithuania recently participated in the 2025 EuroBasket and had a quarterfinal run. They lost to Greece. They also qualified for the 2023 World Cup. They have a solid chance to take home advantage in the qualifiers. During the European qualifiers, they averaged 67.1 points per game and allowed 62.7 points per game.
The hosts were shooting 35.6% from the floor and 31.3% from the three-point line. They ranked eighth in the blocks per game (2.3) and fourth in steals per game (8.1). They have announced a strong roster for the qualifiers. Their key starters have played in different leagues. Ignas Sargiunas could be an offensive threat. The 26-year-old guard averaged 17.4 points in the 2025 qualifiers. We back her to score 15 or more points in the upcoming fixture.
Italy vs Lithuania Starting Lineups
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Niccolo Mannion |
| SG | Stefano Tonut |
| SF | Gabriele Procida |
| PF | John Petrucelli |
| C | Amedeo Tessitori |
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Ignas Sargiunas |
| SG | Stefano Tonut |
| SF | Gabriele Procida |
| PF | Mantas Rubstavicius |
| C | Amedeo Tessitori |
ITALY vs LITHUANIA
Winning PredictionLithuania head into the home contest as the favourites to win this match considering the previous form in EuroBasket. We are backing Lithuania to win the game against the hosts. We also back both teams to score a probable 145 points with Italy reaching 70 or more points.
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