Japan vs Philippines, Basketball Women's Asian Games, 2026, Today Match Prediction
Japan
Philippines
Can Japan topple Philippines?
- Japan are 2-3 in their last 5 games .
- The Philippines are on a 2 game winning streak.
- Japan are 3-0 in last 3 games against Philippines
Japan to Win.
| Tournament: | Basketball Women's Asian Games, 2026 |
| Live Streaming: | Courtside 1891 |
| Venue: | Aichi International Arena |
| Tip Off: | 19:00:00 |
Japan vs Philippines Basteball Odds
| Bookmaker | Team A | Team B |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | NA | NA |
Japan vs Philippines Match Prediction & Analysis
Japan Women and the Philippines Women meet in a Group B matchup on September 22, with both teams entering the game unbeaten at 1–0 in the group. Japan opened their campaign with a dominant 114–37 victory over Hong Kong, China, while the Philippines defeated Kazakhstan 86–58 in their opener.
The matchup should be considerably more competitive than either team's first game, with Japan bringing a fast, perimeter-oriented style and the Philippines possessing strong guard play, athleticism and defensive pressure. Japan also won the most recent head-to-head meeting 85–82 at the 2025 FIBA Women's Asia Cup, making this an important game for the top position in Group B.
Japan are 1-0 in Group B.
The Philippines are 1-0 in Group B.
Head-to-Head Record (Last 5 Matches):
Japan had a 3–0 edge in all confirmed senior head-to-head meetings. Japan averaged 99 points per game in those meetings while conceding 57, and the Philippines averaged 57 points while giving up 99 to Japan. The average total per game sits at approximately 139
Japan vs Philippines Player Stats
| Player Name | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Steals/Blocks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIURA Maika | 12.5 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.5/2.0 |
| MEANS Elizabeth | 20.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0/0.3 |
Teams Preview
Japan Preview
Japan's previous outing was a 114–37 victory over Hong Kong, China on September 17. Japan dominated from the opening quarter, leading 32–11 after the first period and extending the advantage to 69–17 at halftime. They continued to control the game after the break, eventually winning by 77 points. Japan's performance highlighted their depth, fast pace and ability to generate scoring runs through defensive pressure and transition play.
Japan should look to push the tempo and use constant ball movement, off-ball screens and perimeter shooting to stretch the Philippines defense, while attacking gaps whenever their guards force defensive rotations.
Their transition offense can be particularly dangerous if they create turnovers, so Japan should apply pressure immediately after losing possession and look to generate fast-break opportunities. Defensively, Japan need to put pressure on the Philippines' ball handlers, deny easy penetration and force them into contested perimeter attempts. Controlling the defensive glass will also be important because limiting second chances will allow Japan to maintain their preferred pace.
Japan on average score 114 points per game they score 64% from the field and 38% from the arc. Japan grab 56 rebounds per game .
Philippines Preview
The Philippines opened their Asian Games campaign with an 86–58 victory over Kazakhstan on September 17. They established control immediately, taking a 25–9 lead after the first quarter and extending it to 49–32 at halftime. The Philippines then produced a dominant third quarter, outscoring Kazakhstan 27–8 to effectively put the game beyond reach.
Elizabeth Means led the Philippines with 23 points, while Stefanie Berberabe contributed 11 points, 8 assists and 5 steals, giving the team an excellent combination of scoring and playmaking.
The Philippines should look to attack Japan through aggressive guard penetration and physical pick-and-roll play, trying to disrupt Japan's rhythm before Japan can establish their perimeter passing game. Elizabeth Means can provide an important interior scoring option while the guards should look to push the ball whenever they secure defensive rebounds.
Defensively, the Philippines need to apply their trademark backcourt pressure without overcommitting and giving Japan open three-point opportunities. They should also prioritize defensive rebounding and transition defense, because Japan's biggest advantage can come from turning defensive stops into quick scoring runs.
The Philippines on average score 86 points per game they score 53% from the field and 21% from the arc. Philippines grab 30 rebounds per game .
Japan vs Philippines Starting Lineups
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | OKAMOTO Miyu |
| SG | MIURA Maika |
| SF | TSUNETA Ami |
| PF | TANAKA Ufuoma |
| C | SATO Takako |
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | BERNARDINO Afril |
| SG | PASTRANA Kent |
| SF | YAM Hazelle |
| PF | BERBERABE Stefani |
| C | MEANS Elizabeth |
JAPAN vs PHILIPPINES
Winning PredictionJapan's combination of perimeter shooting, ball movement and transition offense gives them an advantage, but this should be much more competitive than their opening game against Hong Kong. The Philippines' pressure defense and physicality can cause problems if Japan become careless with the ball.
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