Japan vs South Korea, Basketball Women's Asian Games, 2026, Today Match Prediction
Japan
South Korea
Will Republic of Korea outplay Japan?
- Japan are on a 5 game winning streak.
- Republic of Korea on a 5 game winning streak.
- Japan had a dominant edge in all confirmed meetings.
Republic of Korea to Win and cover the spread (3.5).
| Tournament: | Basketball Women's Asian Games, 2026 |
| Live Streaming: | Courtside 1891 |
| Venue: | Aichi International Arena |
| Tip Off: | 16:00:00 |
Japan vs South Korea Basteball Odds
| Bookmaker | Team A | Team B |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 2.39 |
Japan vs South Korea Match Prediction & Analysis
Japan Women face Republic of Korea Women in the Asian Games 2026 gold-medal final after both teams won their semifinals. Japan dominated Chinese Taipei 80–52, while Korea came from behind to defeat China 85–80 with a strong fourth-quarter performance.
Japan will look to control the tempo through their perimeter movement and balanced scoring, while Korea will rely heavily on Lee Sohee, Lee Haeran and their defensive pressure. Korea's ability to handle Japan's outside shooting and maintain their fourth-quarter intensity could be crucial. The final is scheduled for September 26 at 19:20 at Aichi International Arena.
Japan are 3-0 in Group B.
Republic of Korea are 3-0 in Group C.
Japan had a slight edge in the last five meetings. Japan averaged 77.8 points per game while conceding 77, and South Korea averaged 77 points while giving up 77.8 to Japan. The average total per game sits at approximately 155
Japan vs South Korea Player Stats
| Player Name | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Steals/Blocks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miura Maika | 16.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.5/2.0 |
| Lee Sohee | 23.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0/0.3 |
Teams Preview
Japan Preview
Japan Women reached the final with an 80–52 victory over Chinese Taipei in the semifinal. Japan controlled the game from the opening quarter, leading 20–11 after the first and extending the advantage to 39–27 at halftime before pulling away further in the second half.
Miura Maika led Japan with 16 points, while Okamoto Miyu scored 11 and both Higuchi Suzuno and Owaki Haru added 12.
Japan will look to play with quick ball movement, perimeter shooting and pace, using their guards to create open looks and attacking opportunities in transition. Their balanced scoring was evident against Chinese Taipei, with four players reaching double figures.
Defensively, Japan need to put pressure on Korea's guards, particularly Lee Sohee, while preventing easy transition baskets and limiting Korea's second-chance opportunities.
Japan on average score 91.4 points per game they score 76.1% from the field and 26.6% from the arc. Japan grab 50 rebounds per game .
South Korea Preview
Republic of Korea Women produced an impressive 85–80 comeback win over China in their semifinal. Korea trailed 36–41 at halftime and 61–65 after three quarters but turned the game around in the fourth. Lee Sohee led all scorers with 23 points, while Lee Haeran added 22 and Kang Leeseul contributed 16. Korea's fourth-quarter execution was decisive.
Korea will look to use their physical defense, aggressive perimeter play and efficient inside scoring to control the game. Lee Sohee and Lee Haeran will be important offensive options after combining for 45 points against China, while Korea can also use their size around the paint.
Defensively, Korea need to disrupt Japan's ball movement, contest their outside shots and force Japan into difficult possessions rather than allowing them to establish their preferred fast-paced rhythm.
Republic of Korea on average score 90.6 points per game they score 46.9% from the field and 25.3% from the arc. Republic of Korea grab 51.3 rebounds per game .
Japan vs South Korea Starting Lineups
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Miura Maika |
| SG | Tsuneta Ami |
| SF | Okamoto Miyu |
| PF | Tanaka Ufuoma |
| C | Owaki Haru |
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Heo Yeeun |
| SG | Lee Sohee |
| SF | Kang Leeseul |
| PF | Lee Haeran |
| C | Jin An |
JAPAN vs SOUTH KOREA
Winning PredictionKorea entered with a substantial advantage in international experience, ranking and overall depth.Korea come into the final after defeating China 85–80, while Japan beat Chinese Taipei 80–52 in the other semifinal. Korea also have the recent head-to-head advantage, having beaten Japan 100–83 in the group stage.
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