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Japan vs Thailand, Basketball Women's Asian Games, 2026, Today Match Prediction

Aichi International Arena
Japan
Thailand

Can Japan topple Thailand?

  • Japan averages 100.0% home wins, with 93.6 points per game.
  • Thailand averages 46.6 points per game.
  • In the last five matches, Japan have 3 wins, 2 losses, and Thailand have won 0, 5 losses.
Japan to win and cover the spread (-59.5).
Tournament: Basketball Women's Asian Games, 2026
Live Streaming: DAZN
Venue: Aichi International Arena
Tip Off: 15:30:00
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Japan vs Thailand Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
1xBet 1.01 10.0

Japan vs Thailand Match Prediction & Analysis

Japan face Thailand in the women’s basketball quarter-final on September 24 after finishing top of Group B with an unbeaten record. The hosts will look to build on their strong group-stage performances, while Thailand aim to respond after a difficult campaign and produce a stronger defensive display in the knockout stage.

In their last five head-to-head matchups, Japan has won 5 matches, while Thailand has won 0 matches. 

Japan vs Thailand Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Miyu Okamoto 15.0 5.3 2.0 1.0/0.7
Sasiporn Wongtapha 9.3 3.7 2.8 1.5/0.3

Teams Preview

Japan Preview

Japan finished the group stage unbeaten after a strong performance against the Philippines.

Miyu Okamoto drove the game forward, scoring 19 points, 5 rebounds, Ami Tsuneta added 18 points, 2 rebounds, 3 assists. Takako Sato put up 11 points, 3 rebounds. Ufuoma Tanaka defended the paint with 4 points, 8 rebounds, and 3 steals.

Offensively, Japan scored 44.7% from the field goal, including 40.5% from the three-point line and 54.5% from the free throw line, with 25 assists. Defensively, they secured the board 42-30, with 11 steals, and 3 blocks.

The win gives Japan strong momentum heading into the quarter-final. Their outside shooting and defensive pressure were effective against the Philippines, and finishing the group stage unbeaten should boost confidence. Japan will now look to carry that intensity into the knockout stage against Thailand.

Thailand Preview

Thailand endured a difficult outing against China in the group stage, struggling to contain China’s pace, depth and attacking pressure

Sasiporn Wongtapha came up big offensively, contributing 18 points, 3 assists, 4 rebounds, while teammate Supavadee Kunchuan added 8 points, 4 rebounds. Pattanamon Pattanauckkaranon with 5 points, 1 assist. Priscilla Langkilde Jensen defended the paint with 5 rebounds, 6 points.

Offensively, Thailand shot 22.4% from the field including 19.2% from deep, and 60.0% from the free throw line, with 5 assists. On the defensive end they got outrebounded 35-51, with 3 steals, 4 blocks.

The defeat gives Thailand a chance to reset before their quarter-final against Japan. They will need to improve their defensive organisation, protect the boards and maintain composure under pressure. The experience against China should also help them prepare for the intensity and quality expected in the knockout stage.

Japan vs Thailand Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Maika Miura
SG Ufuoma Tanaka
SF Takako Sato
PF Ami Tsuneta
C Miyu Okamoto

Position Player Name
PG Sasiporn Wongtapha
SG Supavadee Kunchuan
SF Priscilla Langkilde Jesen
PF Pattanamon Patthanauckkaranon
C Chosita Sakaret

JAPAN vs THAILAND

Winning Prediction

Japan enter the quarter-final with strong momentum after finishing the group stage unbeaten. Their depth, outside shooting and defensive organisation give them an advantage, while Thailand will look to respond with greater defensive intensity. Japan are expected to control the game and advance to the semi-finals.

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Author: Vishnu Reddy