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Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury, WNBA 2026, Today Match Prediction

Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Sparks
Phoenix Mercury

Can Phoenix Mercury topple Los Angeles Sparks?

  • The Los Angeles Sparks have a 51% win rate against the Phoenix Mercury.
  • The Los Angeles Sparks average 84.4 points at home while playing against the Phoenix Mercury.
  • In the last five matches, Phoenix Mercury has won one and lost four matches.
Phoenix Mercury to win and cover the spread (1.5).
Tournament: WNBA 2026
Live Streaming: Courtside 1891
Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Tip Off: 00:30:00
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Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
1xBet 1.81 1.97

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Match Prediction & Analysis

The Los Angeles Sparks host the Phoenix Mercury on Wednesday, July 23, in a key WNBA Western Conference matchup. The Sparks will be eager to bounce back from their recent loss and put an end to their four game losing streak, while the Mercury enter with momentum after a strong defensive win over the Connecticut Sun. Both teams will look to gain valuable ground in the playoff race.

The Los Angeles Sparks rank 6th in the Western Conference with 10 wins and 15 losses, while Phoenix Mercury rank 7th with 9 wins and 18 losses.

In their last five head-to-head matchups, Phoenix Mercury has won two matches, while the Los Angeles Sparks has won three matches. 

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Nneka Ogwumike 17.3 9.0 2.9 1.1/0.6
DeWanna Bonner 9.4 5.5 1.3 1.1/0.6

Teams Preview

Los Angeles Sparks Preview

The Los Angeles Sparks will look to bounce back after a 90-82 defeat to the Dallas Wings, where defensive lapses and missed scoring opportunities proved costly.

Nneka Ogwumike set the pace for the team, scoring 17 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists, while Dearica Hamby added 16 points. Cameron Brink added 10 points and Erica Wheeler contributed 9 points, 10 assists.

Offensively, the Los Angeles Sparks shot 48.5% from the field goal, including 28.6% from the three point line and 90.9% from the free throw line. Defensively, they showed quality through 9 steals, 6 blocks and by forcing the hosts to commit 16 turnovers. However, they failed to control the boards, getting outrebounded (34-30) and made key defensive lapses down the line.

The Los Angeles Sparks will aim to learn from their 90-82 defeat to the Dallas Wings as they prepare for their next game. Defensive inconsistencies and missed opportunities late in the contest proved costly. Expect the Sparks to play with greater urgency, improve their execution, and deliver a stronger all around performance in response.

Overall, the team averages 87 points per game, while dishing out 23.5 assists. Defensively, they record 30 rebounds and allow opponents to just 69 points per game. 

Phoenix Mercury Preview

The Phoenix Mercury head into their next matchup with confidence after securing a 72-63 victory over the Connecticut Sun.

DeWanna Bonner powered her side, contributing 21 points, 6 rebounds, while teammate Kahleah Cooper added 18 points, 4 rebounds, 4 assists. Monique Akoa Makani with 11 points, 6 rebounds. Alyssa Thomas defended the paint with 6 rebounds, 7 points, and 11 assists.

Offensively, the Phoenix Mercury shot 41.3% from the field including 13.3% from deep. They capitalized on opportunities at the line, dropping 78.3%, with 19 assists. On the defensive end, they got outrebounded 35-32, but made multiple defensive stops through 11 steals and forced the visitors to commit 21 turnovers and 25 fouls. 

The victory over the Connecticut Sun will give the Phoenix Mercury a significant confidence boost heading into their next game. Their strong defensive display and composed execution should strengthen team morale. If they maintain the same intensity and consistency on both ends of the floor, Phoenix will feel well positioned to extend newly found winning momentum.

Overall, the team averages 97 points per game, while dishing out 23 assists. Defensively, they record 38 rebounds and allow opponents to just 82 points per game.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Ariel Atkins
SG Rae Burrell
SF Erica Wheeler
PF Dearica Hamby
C Nneka Ogwumike

Position Player Name
PG Kahleah Cooper
SG Monique Akoa Makani
SF Noemie Brochant
PF DeWanna Bonner
C Alyssa Thomas

LOS ANGELES SPARKS vs PHOENIX MERCURY

Winning Prediction

Phoenix enter the matchup with stronger recent form, greater defensive consistency, and momentum from their win over the Connecticut Sun. 

While the Los Angeles Sparks have home court advantage and the ability to challenge, the Mercury appear better positioned to secure the victory if they maintain their defensive intensity. We are backing the Phoenix Mercury to win this matchup.

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Author: Vishnu Reddy