Lithuania vs Iceland, Fiba Basketball World Cup 2027, European Qualifiers, Today Match Prediction
Lithuania
Iceland
Will Lithuania outclass Iceland?
- Lithuania is currently ranked 9th in the world rankings.
- Iceland is currently ranked 33rd in the world rankings.
- Lithuania lead the all-time head-to-head record 3-0 in senior competition — but that perfect record is under serious threat.
Lithuania to Win and cover the spread (-13.5).
| Tournament: | Fiba Basketball World Cup 2027, European Qualifiers |
| Live Streaming: | Courtside 1891 |
| Venue: | Klaipėda, Svyturio Arena |
| Tip Off: | 21:00:00 |
Lithuania vs Iceland Basteball Odds
| Bookmaker | Team A | Team B |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.07 | 8.00 |
Lithuania vs Iceland Match Prediction & Analysis
Lithuania host Iceland on March 2, 2026, at the Svyturio Arena in Klaipėda — a return leg that carries enormous weight for both sides. Iceland stole Game 1 86-85 in Reykjavik on a Fridriksson buzzer-beater, erasing a 21-point Lithuanian deficit in a collapse that sent shockwaves through European basketball. Lithuania, now at 1-2, must win here to preserve any realistic Second Round ambitions. Iceland, at 2-1, can secure a famous sweep and catapult themselves into the conversation for Group D qualification.
Iceland are 2-1, level with Italy and one win above Lithuania. Lithuania are 1-2 — a loss here all but eliminates them from Second Round contention.
Lithuania lead 3-0 all-time in senior competition — but Iceland just blew a 21-point deficit to win Game 1. The series is alive and tighter than any stat suggests.
Lithuania vs Iceland Player Stats
| Player Name | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Steals/Blocks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignas Sargiunas | 22.5 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.4/0.0 |
| Elvar Fridriksson | 26.7 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 1.0/0.0 |
Teams Preview
Lithuania Preview
Lithuania arrive in Klaipėda stinging from one of the most painful defeats in recent national team memory. They led by 21 points and appeared to be cruising only to completely collapse in the fourth quarter (Iceland outscored them 32-17) and lose on a buzzer-beater. It was their third consecutive single-point finish in these Qualifiers all three going against them in the crunch. Now at 1-2, Lithuania's Second Round hopes are on life support. A home win here is not optional — it is survival.
Coach Rimas Kurtinaitis has spoken about the deep pride this squad carries, and the Svyturio Arena in Klaipėda is one of the most electric home venues in European basketball. Lithuania's season-best performer remains Ignas Sargiunas FIBA's own Power Rankings called him the team's heartbeat, describing his form as a "litmus test" for the national team. He posted 19 points (per boxscore leaders) in the Reykjavik loss but the team collapsed around him late. Marek Blazevic led all scorers in the game-log context with the highest efficiency (30 per boxscore).
Lithuania on average score 85.0 points per game, shoot 50.7% from two and 40.0% from three elite long-range numbers and pull down 41.0 rebounds per game. Free throw shooting at 62.9% is a concern.
Iceland Preview
Iceland arrive at Klaipėda as the most in-form team in Group D and arguably the hottest underdog story in the entire European Qualifiers. Elvar Fridriksson delivered another all-time moment on February 27: 34 points and 6 assists, capped by a game-winning step-back jumper at the buzzer to complete a miraculous 86-85 comeback from 21 points down. It is the second buzzer-beater of his Qualifiers career, and his Lithuanian basketball pedigree (Siauliai, Rytas Vilnius) made it all the more poetic.
Now at 2-1 and with real momentum, Iceland genuinely believe they can sweep Lithuania for the first time ever. Tryggvi Hlinason (2.5 blocks per game) remains the defensive anchor and offensive fulcrum in the paint his interior presence has been essential to Iceland's upset wins throughout this qualifying run. Martin Hermannsson's fitness was questioned before Game 1 but any improvement in his availability for the return leg would be another boost.
Iceland on average score 82.5 points per game, shoot 53.2% from two and 34.0% from three, and pull down 36.5 rebounds per game. Their 74.4% free throw shooting is notably stronger than Lithuania's 62.9%.
Lithuania vs Iceland Starting Lineups
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Ignas Sargiunas |
| SG | Arnas Velicka |
| SF | Gytis Radzevicius |
| PF | Azuolas Tubelis |
| C | Marek Blazevic |
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Elvar Fridriksson |
| SG | Martin Hermannsson |
| SF | Jon Axel Gudmundsson |
| PF | Orri Gunnarsson |
| C | Tryggvi Hlinason |
LITHUANIA vs ICELAND
Winning PredictionLithuania cannot afford another collapse. With their backs completely against the wall, playing in front of a desperate home crowd that will give them every possible advantage, and with Sargiunas in a must-win environment where he historically elevates Lithuania are the narrow favorites to win the return leg.
1xBet
100% up to ₱8,000