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Lithuania vs Italy, Fiba Basketball World Cup 2027, European Qualifiers, Today Match Prediction

Klaipeda, Svyturio Arena
Lithuania
Italy

Lithuania to Win at Home

  • Lithuania is ranked 9th in the world
  • Italy is ranked 15th in the world
  • Lithuania has an 87.5% win rate against Italy
Lithuania to Win and Cover the Spread (-5.5)
Tournament: Fiba Basketball World Cup 2027, European Qualifiers
Live Streaming: Courtside 1891
Venue: Klaipeda, Svyturio Arena
Tip Off: 22:00:00
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Lithuania vs Italy Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
n/a 1.40 2.85

Lithuania vs Italy Match Prediction & Analysis

Lithuania faces Italy on 30 November 2025 in the FIBA World Cup 2027 European Qualifiers. Lithuania enters on a high after a dramatic win over Great Britain, showcasing clutch shooting and resilience. Italy seeks redemption after losing to Iceland, needing sharper defense and composure. Expect a close, competitive clash, with Lithuania slightly favored due to momentum, history, and home advantage.

Head-to-Head Record: In the last five head-to-head records, Italy has won one match, while Lithuania has won four matches. Lithuania is averaging 89 points per game, while Italy is averaging 76 points per game.

Lithuania vs Italy Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Ignas Sargiunas 27.0 2.0 3.0 4.0/1.0
Davide Casarin 19.0 3.0 1.0 0.0/0.0

Teams Preview

Lithuania Preview

Lithuania pulled off a dramatic 89-88 win over Great Britain in the opening game of the FIBA World Cup 2027 European Qualifiers at the Copper Box Arena. Lithuanian guard Ignas Sargiunas delivered one of the wildest comebacks in FIBA history, hitting three three‑pointers in the final 9.9 seconds, including a buzzer‑beating heave, to snatch victory. He finished with 27 points and instantly became a national hero.

Offensively, Lithuania shot 55% from the two point range, 36.7% from the perimeter and showcased impressive ball movement and registered 21 assists. Defensively, they were strong on the boards, outrebounding Great Britain 48-33 on the boards and recorded 6 blocks, translating it into 19 second chance points. They also received major contributions from the bench (53 points). This win over Great Britain boosts their FIBA World Cup 2027 European Qualifiers campaign, providing crucial points, momentum, and confidence while showcasing clutch scoring and resilience under pressure.

Italy Preview

Italy national basketball team faltered in their 81-76 home loss to Iceland national basketball team, a disappointing start to their FIBA Basketball World Cup 2027 European Qualifiers campaign. Despite a solid 19‑point outing from Davide Casarin and 16 points from Gabriele Procida, Italy couldn’t close it out. Amedeo Tessitori guarded the paint with 10 rebounds and 10 points.

Offensively, Italy shot 36% from the field, struggling from the three point range, shooting just 21.9%. Defensively, Italy outrebound Iceland 47-33 on the boards, recorded 5 steals and 4 blocks. They even forced Iceland to commit 10 turnovers, but failed to capitalize on the opportunities. Italy’s loss to Iceland leaves them 0-1 in Group D of the FIBA World Cup 2027 European Qualifiers, exposing offensive lapses and creating urgent pressure to win upcoming games and regain momentum.

Lithuania vs Italy Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Ignas Sargiunas
SG Kristupas Zemaitis
SF Gytis Radzevicius
PF Gytis Masiulis
C Arthuras Gudaitis

Position Player Name
PG Matteo Librizzi
SG Davide Casarin
SF Gabriele Procida
PF Sasha Grant
C Luca Vincini

LITHUANIA vs ITALY

Winning Prediction

Lithuania’s recent clutch form, confidence, and home-court advantage give them the slight upper hand, while Italy’s inconsistency makes a close win challenging. Expect a high-intensity, fast-paced game decided in the final minutes. We are backing Lithuania to win this matchup.

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Author: Vishnu Reddy