New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces, WNBA Commissioner's Cup, 2026, Today Match Prediction
New York Liberty
Las Vegas Aces
Can the Aces topple the Liberty?
- The Las Vegas Aces have a 54% win rate against the New York Liberty
- New York Liberty averages 79.8 points at home while playing against the Las Vegas Aces.
- In the last five matches, Las Vegas Aces have lost one and won four matches.
Las Vegas Aces to win and cover the spread (+5.5)
| Tournament: | WNBA Commissioner's Cup, 2026 |
| Live Streaming: | WNBA League Pass |
| Venue: | Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY |
| Tip Off: | 04:30:00 |
New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Basteball Odds
| Bookmaker | Team A | Team B |
|---|---|---|
| n/a | 1.39 | 2.90 |
New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Match Prediction & Analysis
The New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces meet in a regular season clash as both teams look to strengthen their position in the WNBA standings. New York aims to bounce back after its loss to the Golden State Valkyries, while Las Vegas enters with momentum following a 107-99 win over Chicago. Expect a high intensity contest featuring elite talent, physical defense, and playoff level intensity.
Current Standings
Las Vegas Aces is currently 2nd in the Women’s National Basketball Association, with a 14-5 record, while New York Liberty is 5th in the standings with a 12-8 record.
Head-to-Head Matches
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Las Vegas Aces has just won one match, while the New York Liberty has won four matches and is currently riding a one game winning streak.
New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Player Stats
| Player Name | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Steals/Blocks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 10 | 5.5 | 1 | 0/0 |
| A’ja Wilson | 25.7 | 9.4 | 2.9 | 1.6/2 |
Teams Preview
New York Liberty Preview
The New York Liberty closed their West Coast road trip with a disappointing 76-67 loss to the Golden State Valkyries, struggling to find any offensive rhythm.
Jonquel Orthea Jones led the charge with 21 points and 7 rebounds and Breanna Stewart added 15 points, but received little offensive support from the remaining cast.
Offensively, New York just shot 40.4% from the field, highlighted by their inefficient ball movement (14 assists). Defensively, they got outrebounded 30-24 on the boards, committed 11 key turnovers and made multiple defensive lapses down the line.
The loss dropped New York to 12-8 and marked another worrying setback for a team with championship aspirations. The Liberty will need sharper ball movement, better bench production, and greater consistency on both ends as they look to quickly regroup.
Overall, the team averages 85 points per game, while dishing out 18.5 assists. Defensively, they record 33.5 rebounds, but allow opponents to score 88 points per game.
Las Vegas Aces Preview
The Las Vegas Aces continued their strong run with a 107-99 road victory over the Chicago Sky, improving to 14-5 after another explosive offensive performance. After a 31-31 opening quarter, the Aces seized control by outscoring Chicago 30-19 in the second period and never relinquished the lead.
A’ja Wilson dominated on both ends, finishing with 30 points, 15 rebounds, 4 steals, and 3 blocks. Jackie Young added 28 points and 8 assists, while Chelsea Gray contributed 18 points, 6 assists, and 6 rebounds to keep the offense flowing.
Offensively, the Aces shot efficiently, hitting 52.4% from the field, including 40% from the perimeter and 83.8% from the free throw line. Defensively, though they got outrebounded 36-32 on the boards, their 26 defensive rebounds limited second chance opportunities. They also recorded 9 steals causing momentum swings in their favor and forced the hosts to commit 11 turnovers and 26 fouls.
The win strengthened the Aces position in the playoff race and boosted confidence ahead of a tougher stretch of the schedule. Overall, the team averages 89 points per game, while dishing out 15.5 assists. Defensively, they record 34.5 rebounds, but allow opponents to score 89.5 points per game.
New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Starting Lineups
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Sabrina Ionescu |
| SG | Pauline Astier |
| SF | Leonie Fiebich |
| PF | Breanna Stewart |
| C | Jonquel Orthea Jones |
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Jackie Young |
| SG | Chelsea Gray |
| SF | Kierstan Bell |
| PF | Nalyssa Rae Smith |
| C | A’ja Wilson |
NEW YORK LIBERTY vs LAS VEGAS ACES
Winning PredictionA’ja Wilson’s dominance and the Aces recent momentum give them a slight advantage, though the Liberty have every chance if their offense clicks. We are backing the Las Vegas Aces to win this matchup.
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