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Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries, WNBA 2026, Today Match Prediction

Mortgage Matchup Center Phoenix
Phoenix Mercury
Golden State Valkyries

Can Golden State Valkyries topple Phoenix Mercury?

  • The Phoenix Mercury have a 57.1% win rate against the Dallas Wings.
  • The Phoenix Mercury averages 82 points at home while playing against the Golden State Valkyries.
  • In the last five matches, the Golden State Valkyries have lost one and won four matches.
Golden State Valkyries to win and cover the spread (-5.5).
Tournament: WNBA 2026
Live Streaming: Courtside 1891
Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center Phoenix
Tip Off: 07:30:00
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Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
1xBet 2.80 1.42

Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Match Prediction & Analysis

Phoenix Mercury and Golden State Valkyries should deliver a competitive matchup on July 30. Phoenix will rely on its veteran experience, offensive consistency and their two game winning momentum, while the Golden State looks to bounce back with its defensive intensity and perimeter shooting.

The Golden State Valkyries are currently 2nd in the Women’s National Basketball Association, with a 19-8 record, while the Phoenix Mercury is 12th in the standings with a 10-18 record.

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Golden State Valkyries have won two matches, while the Phoenix Mercury has won three matches. However, the Valkyries are riding a two game winning streak against the Mercury.

Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Alyssa Thomas 14.4 7.0 8.3 1.5/0.5
Kayla Thornton 8.4 5.0 0.7 0.8/0.3

Teams Preview

Phoenix Mercury Preview

The Phoenix Mercury secured a hard fought 86-82 road victory over the Los Angeles Sparks, showing composure in a closely contested finish.

Alyssa Thomas was the catalyst for Phoenix, producing a remarkable 19 points, 11 rebounds and 15 assists to record another triple-double and control the game with her all-around impact. Kahleah Copper also provided important scoring support (21 points) as the Mercury maintained enough offensive consistency to stay ahead.

Offensively, Phoenix shot 47.3% from the field, 25.9% from the perimeter and 69.2% from the free throw line, while recording an impressive 28 assists, which helped spread the floor. Defensively, they got outrebounded 37-33 on the boards, but recorded 10 steals which caused multiple momentum swings in their favor and forced the hosts to commit 18 turnovers and 21 fouls. 

The victory was particularly significant for the Mercury after the Sparks had defeated them twice earlier in the season. Phoenix improved to 10-18 with the result and Mercury’s balanced offense, strong playmaking and late game execution ultimately proved decisive in a four point win.

Overall, the team averages 97 points per game, while dishing out 23 assists. Defensively, they record 38 rebounds and allow opponents to just 82 points per game.

Golden State Valkyries Preview

The Golden State Valkyries suffered a 90-82 defeat against the Washington Mystics, struggling to maintain offensive consistency across four quarters. The Valkyries were competitive for long stretches but could not contain Washington’s scoring surge when the game began to tilt in the Mystics favor.

Kaitlyn Chen led the scoring with 20 points and was supported by other players like Kayla Thornton (15 points), Veronica Burton (12 points), Janelle Salaun (11 points), but their efforts weren't enough. 

Offensively, the Valkyries just shot 43.1% from the field, including 36.4% from the perimeter and 72.7% from the free throw line. Defensively, they did manage to force the Mystics to commit multiple turnovers, but were outrebounded on the glass (35-23), giving away second chance opportunities.  

The eight point loss highlighted the Valkyries need for greater offensive efficiency and defensive discipline, particularly against teams capable of changing the game’s tempo. This loss also put an end to their incredible winning streak and will need to regain momentum. 

Overall, the team averages 78 points per game, while dishing out 16 assists. Defensively, they record 35 rebounds and allow opponents to just 76 points per game.

Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Kahleah Copper
SG Monique Akoa Makani
SF Natasha Mack
PF Alyssa Thomas
C DeWanna Bonner

Position Player Name
PG Kaitlyn Chen
SG Veronica Burton
SF Janelle Salaun
PF Kayla Thornton
C Kiah Stokes

PHOENIX MERCURY vs GOLDEN STATE VALKYRIES

Winning Prediction

The Golden State Valkyries get the edge in a closely fought matchup. Their defensive pressure and ability to create three point opportunities could prove decisive, especially if they improve their shooting efficiency from their previous loss to Washington. We are backing the Golden State Valkyries to win this matchup. 

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Author: Vishnu Reddy