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Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever, WNBA 2026, Today Match Prediction

Mortgage Matchup Center Phoenix
Phoenix Mercury
Indiana Fever

Can Indiana Fever topple Phoenix Mercury?

  • The Phoenix Mercury have a 54.2% win rate against the Indiana Fever .
  • The Phoenix Mercury averages 83.8 points at home while playing against the Indiana Fever .
  • In the last five matches, Indiana Fever has lost and won three matches.
Indiana Fever to win and cover the spread (2.0).
Tournament: WNBA 2026
Live Streaming: WNBA League Pass
Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center Phoenix
Tip Off: 07:30:00
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Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
1xBet 1.81 1.98

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Match Prediction & Analysis

Indiana enters the July 10 clash with momentum after dominating the Las Vegas Aces, while Phoenix looks to recover from a frustrating loss to the Chicago Sky. 

The Fever’s balanced offense and strong interior play give them an edge, but the Mercury’s veteran core and home court advantage should make this another closely contested matchup between evenly matched teams.

Indiana Fever is currently 5th in the Women’s National Basketball Association, with a 12-8 record, while the Phoenix Mercury is 12th in the standings with a 8-14 record.

In their last five head-to-head matchups, Indiana Fever has won two matches, while Phoenix Mercury has won three matches and is currently riding a one game winning streak against Indiana.

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Kahleah Cooper 18.0 2.0 0.5 0.5/0.0
Kelsey Mitchell 15.0 0.7 1.0 0.7/1.0

Teams Preview

Phoenix Mercury Preview

The Phoenix Mercury struggled to find offensive rhythm in a 77-66 home loss to the Chicago Sky, producing one of their lowest scoring outings of the season.

Kahleah Cooper led the scoring with 25 points, while DeWana Bonner added 12 points and 7 rebounds. Alyssa Thomas contributed 11 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, but their efforts weren't enough.

Offensively, Phoenix just shot 37% from the field, including 29.2% from the three point line. Their ball movement was almost non-existent (9 assists) compared to Chicago’s 21. Defensively, they got outrebounded 35-31 on the boards, made key defensive lapses and committed 20 turnovers, proving costly down the stretch. 

The defeat put an end to their three game winning streak and dropped Phoenix to 8-14, highlighting the need for sharper execution and improved offensive efficiency as they look to bounce back in their next outing.

Overall, the team averages 97 points per game, while dishing out 23 assists. Defensively, they record 38 rebounds and allow opponents to just 82 points per game. 

Indiana Fever Preview

The Indiana Fever delivered one of their most complete performances of the season, cruising to an 84-68 road victory over the Las Vegas Aces despite playing without star guard Caitlin Clark.

Kelsey Mitchell led the charge with 27 points, attacking efficiently, while Aliyah Boston dominated the paint with 18 points and 10 rebounds for a commanding double-double. Lexie Hull added 10 points and Sophie Cunningham chipped in 9 points.

Offensively, Indiana shot 42.9% from the field, including 39.1% from the perimeter and 75% from the free throw line. Defensively, Indiana controlled the boards 39-30, limiting second chance opportunities and held the hosts to just 21.1% from beyond the arc. Their defense also forced the Aces to commit 13 key turnovers. 

The victory extended their winning streak to two matches and improved Indiana to 12-8, proving the team can compete at a high level even without its star guard.

Overall, the team averages 98 points per game, while dishing out 22.7 assists. Defensively, they record 30.7 rebounds and allow opponents to just 81 points per game. 

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Kahleah Cooper
SG Monique Akoa Makani
SF Alyssa Thomas
PF DeWana Bonner
C Noemie Brochant

Position Player Name
PG Kelsey Mitchell
SG Sophie Cunningham
SF Myisha
PF Monique Billings
C Aliyah Boston

PHOENIX MERCURY vs INDIANA FEVER

Winning Prediction

Indiana Fever have a slight edge heading into this matchup based on recent form. Their balanced offense, strong interior presence through Aliyah Boston and improved defensive consistency make them the more complete team at the moment. We are backing Indiana Fever to win this matchup. 

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Author: Vishnu Reddy