South Korea vs Iran, Basketball Mens Asian Games, 2026, Today Match Prediction
South Korea
Iran
Can Korea outclass Iran?
- The Republic of Korea are on a 5 game winning streak.
- Iran are on a 3 game winning streak.
- Republic of Korea led 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
Korea to Win and cover the spread (-17.5).
| Tournament: | Basketball Mens Asian Games, 2026 |
| Live Streaming: | Courtside 1891 |
| Venue: | Aichi International Arena |
| Tip Off: | 16:00:00 |
South Korea vs Iran Basteball Odds
| Bookmaker | Team A | Team B |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.03 | 7.60 |
South Korea vs Iran Match Prediction & Analysis
Republic of Korea and Iran meet in Semifinal 2 of the men's basketball tournament at the 2026 Asian Games on September 18. Korea enter the semifinal after a dominant 114–80 quarterfinal win over Jordan, extending their tournament record to 4–0. Iran also advanced after beating Bahrain 79–74 in the quarterfinals.
Korea have been one of the tournament's most efficient offensive teams, while Iran bring significant size, physicality and experience. The matchup should be particularly interesting because Korea's perimeter movement and three-point shooting will be tested against Iran's interior strength and half-court defense.
Republic of Korea are 3-0 in Group A.
Iran are 2-1 in Group B.
Korea had a 4–1 edge in the last five meetings. Korea averaged 75.6 points per game while conceding 73.4, and Iran averaged 73.4 points while giving up 75.6 to South Korea. The average total per game sits at approximately 149
South Korea vs Iran Player Stats
| Player Name | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Steals/Blocks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Hyun-jung | 19.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0/1.0 |
| Mobin Sheikhi | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.5/0.0 |
Teams Preview
South Korea Preview
Korea's last game was a 114–80 victory over Jordan in the quarterfinals. Korea immediately took control with a 28–8 first quarter and never allowed Jordan back into the game. Lee Hyun-jung led Korea with 28 points, 9 rebounds and 5 assists, shooting 10-of-15 from the field and 6-of-10 from three in just under 21 minutes. Yu Ki-sang added 16 points and Lee Jung-hyun scored 12. Korea also dominated the boards 44–29, including a 14–7 advantage in offensive rebounds.
Korea should look to stretch Iran's defense with their perimeter shooting and constant off-ball movement, using Lee Hyun-jung and Lee Jung-hyun as primary creators while attacking closeouts when Iran's defense extends toward the three-point line. Their big men should set high screens and keep Iran's interior defenders moving rather than allowing the game to become a slow post-up battle.
Defensively, Korea need to pressure Iran's ball handlers, deny easy post entries and rotate quickly when Iran tries to establish its size inside. Korea's ability to create turnovers and turn them into transition points could be especially important, while controlling defensive rebounds will prevent Iran from generating second-chance opportunities.
The Republic of Korea on average score 99.5 points per game they score 33.3% from the field and 28.6% from the arc. The Republic of Korea grab 32 rebounds per game .
Iran Preview
Iran's last game was a 79–74 quarterfinal victory over Bahrain. Iran led 43–34 at halftime, with Bahrain making a late push after halftime, but Iran held on to advance to the semifinals. The victory came after Iran had finished top of Group B, including an 81–68 win over Jordan in their final group game.
Iran should look to slow the pace and exploit their size in the half court, attacking the paint and using interior screens to force Korea's smaller defenders into difficult defensive rotations. Their big men should establish deep position early and create opportunities for kick-out passes when Korea collapses.
Against Korea's perimeter-heavy attack, Iran need to defend the three-point line without giving up driving lanes, while aggressively controlling the defensive glass. Limiting Korea's transition game will be crucial; Iran should prioritize getting back defensively after every missed shot and forcing Korea to execute against a set defense.
Iran on average score 73 points per game they score 42.7% from the field and 35.4% from the arc. Iran grab 42 rebounds per game .
South Korea vs Iran Starting Lineups
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Lee Jung-hyun |
| SG | Lee Hyun-jung |
| SF | Yu Ki-sang |
| PF | Yeo Jun-seok |
| C | Lee Seung-hyun |
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Mohammad Amini |
| SG | Mobin Sheikhi |
| SF | Matin Aghajanpour |
| PF | Arsalan Kazemi |
| C | Mohammad Mahdi Heydari |
SOUTH KOREA vs IRAN
Winning PredictionKorea have the stronger recent tournament momentum and their combination of perimeter shooting, ball movement and transition offense could create problems for Iran. Iran's route is to slow the game, dominate the paint and force Korea into contested shots. If Korea can avoid allowing Iran to control the glass and maintain their three-point efficiency, they should have the edge.
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