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Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans, NBA 2025-26 Season, Today Match Prediction

Paycom Center, Oklahoma
Oklahoma City Thunder
New Orleans Pelicans

Thunder to Win at Home

  • The Thunder will be without Jalen Willams (hamstring), Alex Caruso (thigh), Isaiah Hartenstein (calf) and Ajay Mitchell (abdomen).
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 28.8 points and 5.2 assists in his last 5 games versus New Orleans.
  • The Thunder hold a 2-0 advantage over the Pelicans this regular season, winning by an average margin of 24.0 points per game.
Oklahoma City Thunder to Win and Cover the Spread (-13.5)
Tournament: NBA 2025-26 Season
Live Streaming: NBA League Pass
Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma
Tip Off: 06:30:00
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
n/a 1.11 6.20

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans Match Prediction & Analysis

In what is touted to be a “David vs Goliath” battle, the New Orleans Pelicans now travel to Oklahoma City to take on the Thunder at Paycom Center on Tuesday night. After having suffered two straight losses, the Thunder would be itching to bounce back with a W. The Pelicans, meanwhile, are currently on a two-game winning streak and would be eager to pick up their third victory in a row.

Current Standings: The Thunder are the top dog in the West, owing to their 37-10 record. The Pelicans, on the other hand, are rock bottom in the Western Conference, occupying 15th spot, as a result of a dismal 12-36 showing so far.

Head-to-Head Record (Last 5 Matches): OKC has won the last five meetings against New Orleans, churning out a whopping 126.8 points per matchup, permitting just 105.0 points per game. The average total match points in the last five matches between the Thunder and Pelicans is 231.8.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 32.1 4.4 6.2 1.3/0.8
Trey Murphy III 22.2 6.0 3.7 1.6/0.3

Teams Preview

Oklahoma City Thunder Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder surprisingly dropped one at home on Sunday, going down 101-103 to the Toronto Raptors. Despite this loss the Thunder are still an incredible 20-4 thus far at Paycom Center. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander tallied 24 points, 3 rebounds, 6 assists, 1 steal and 2 blocks in a losing cause. 

Luguentz Dort added 19 points, 8 boards and 2 steals. Kenrich Williams was the star off the bench, contributing 15 points and 5 rebounds. Oklahoma City got outrebounded 37-51 and gave up 28 assists on the night. The current NBA champs also lost the transition game 10-20. They did a poor job in closing down the lane as well, conceding 44 points in the paint.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are the best offensive team in the NBA this season, averaging 120.8 PPG, going 49.2% (3rd in the league) from the field. They have averaged 43.6 RPG and 25.5 APG until now. 

On Defense, Oklahoma City is top ten in both the steals and blocks categories, recording 9.9 SPG (again No.3 in the Association) and 5.8 BPG (2nd in the NBA standings), respectively. Through their last five contests, the Thunder scored 118.6 points an outing, allowing 109.6 points per matchup.

New Orleans Pelicans Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans came up with a statement win on Sunday, topping the San Antonio Spurs 104-95 at Frost Bank Center. The Pelicans now improve to 5-17 on the road this campaign, while holding a 7-19 record at Smoothie King Center.

Zion Williamson and Saddiq Bey each had 24 points, 10 rebounds and 4 assists. Trey Murphy III logged 17 points, 6 boards and 9 dimes. Yves Missi starred off the bench, tallying 10 points, 14 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal and 2 blocks. New Orleans won the rebounding battle 58-46 and had 23 assists in the game. The Pels also dominated the key, accumulating 56 points in the painted area.

The New Orleans Pelicans average 114.8 PPG for the 2025-26 regular season, shooting 46.3% from the floor. They have been averaging 43.8 RPG and 24.8 APG (26th in the Association) to date. 

Defensively, New Orleans is placed sixth in steals, accounting for 8.9 per matchup, blocking 4.5 shots per game. The Pelicans produced 114.0 points per contest, giving up 116.0 points per outing, during the course of their last five encounters.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Cason Wallace
SF Luguentz Dort
PF Jaylin Williams
C Chet Holmgren

Position Player Name
PG Trey Murphy III
SG Herbert Jones
SF Saddiq Bey
PF Zion Williamson
C Derik Queen

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER vs NEW ORLEANS PELICANS

Winning Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder are favorites heading into this clash, playing with determination to get their season back on track following a couple of setbacks and with their superstar Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rising to the occasion. We are confident that the Thunder will further bolster their home record by taking this one.

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Author: Vishnu Reddy