Burnley FC vs Newcastle United, English Premier League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction
Burnley FC
Newcastle United
Can the Magpies Bounce Back to End the Year?
- Burnley are winless in their last five home games
- Newcastle United won one and lost four of their last five away games conceding 1.8 goals per game.
- Newcastle United are on a six match winning streak against Burnley.
Newcastle United to win (2-0)
| Tournament: | English Premier League 2025-26 |
| Venue: | Turf Moor, Burnley |
Burnley FC vs Newcastle United Match Prediction & Analysis
In the first reverse fixture of the season, Burnley welcome Newcastle United to Turf Moor in the final game of the year, kicking off at 1:30 AM IST on Wednesday, December 31. The Clarets, buoyed by points picked up in the last two rounds, will be chasing a hat-trick of positive results. Newcastle, meanwhile, arrive eager to put a narrow defeat behind them and sign off 2025 on a high against a stubborn Burnley side.
Current Standings: A stumble in their last outing has seen Newcastle slide two spots down to 13th with 23 points, while Burnley, despite back-to-back draws, remain stuck in the relegation zone in 19th with just 12 points.
Head-to-Head Record: Newcastle have largely had the upper hand in this matchup, winning nine of the last 15 meetings and suffering just two defeats along the way.
Teams Preview
Burnley FC Preview
The Clarets were left frustrated after a drab goalless draw against a depleted Everton side missing five key players. It was a forgettable contest, especially in the first half, where both teams managed just one shot on target combined.
Despite firing 16 attempts and posting an xG of 1.41, Scott Parker’s men failed to test Pickford even once. The chances were there — Larsen squandered a one-on-one, while Zian Flemming struck the inside of the post deep into stoppage time — but a familiar lack of cutting edge once again cost them.
There was at least a silver lining for the Clarets as they finally snapped a four-game losing run and picked up points in back-to-back matches for the first time since October. However, the bigger concern remains — they are still without a win in nine games, leaving momentum frustratingly out of reach.
Stats that matter
1. Clarets currently ranks second when it comes to teams with fewest first half shots (21) in the league behind Everton (22).
2. Burnley have conceded first in 13 of their 18 fixtures.
3. The Clarets have conceded the most penalties this season in the league (5).
Team News
Beyond their AFCON absentees — Foster, Mejbri and Tuanzebe — and the long-term injury list, Burnley have just one fresh concern ahead of the year’s final fixture, with centre-back Maxim Esteve availability remains doubtful.
Newcastle United Preview
Like Burnley, Newcastle will feel hard done by their Boxing Day return, falling 1–0 to a Bruno Fernandes-less Manchester United despite controlling long spells. The Magpies enjoyed 67% possession and fired 16 shots, yet their lower xG (1.18 to United’s 1.27) told the story of a familiar problem — dominance without the cutting edge.
It marked a competition-high 17th Boxing Day defeat for the Magpies, who head to Turf Moor winless in their last three league outings. Still, confidence remains after edging Burnley 2–1 in the reverse fixture.
Stats that matter
1. Newcastle haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last 11 games in the League.
2. The Magpies have won just one of their last 12 away league matches ( D4 L7).
3. Newcastle are tied for second place for the lowest number of away goals scored by a team (7) in the league this season.
Team News
Along with their long-term injury concerns, Newcastle will also be without Anthony Elanga once again, with the winger set to miss this fixture too and eyeing an early January return.
Newcastle Probable XI - Ramsdale/Pope (GK); Fabian Schar, Thiaw, Lewis Hall, Miley Defenders) ; Ramsey, Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes (Midfielders); Murphy, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon (Forwards).
BURNLEY FC vs NEWCASTLE UNITED
Winning PredictionThings haven’t been bright for the Magpies of late, but a trip to Turf Moor offers welcome comfort. Newcastle have won their last five meetings with Burnley and conceded just once across seven Premier League visits there. Coupled with the Clarets’ woeful home form, it all points toward backing a Newcastle United victory.
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