Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A-League Men 2025-26, Today Match Prediction
Melbourne Victory FC
Wellington Phoenix FC
Can Wellington Avenge Recent H2H Woes in Melbourne?
- Melbourne Victory FC are averaging 1.7 goals per game this season.
- Wellington Phoenix FC are averaging 1.5 goals per game this season.
- Melbourne Victory FC won their last four h2h matches against Wellington Phoenix FC.
Melbourne Victory FC to win (2-1)
| Tournament: | A-League Men 2025-26 |
| Venue: | Melbourne Rectangular Stadium |
Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC Match Prediction & Analysis
Melbourne Victory take on Wellington Phoenix on Sunday at 10:30 AM IST in their first outing after the international break. Both sides head into the clash on a high—Victory cruising past Central Coast Mariners 4-1, while Wellington edged Brisbane Roar 2-1.
Despite the gap between them in the standings, this Tasman Derby promises to be a tense and closely fought contest, with plenty at stake for both teams.
Current Standings: With 35 points, Melbourne Victory are fourth in the table, while Wellington are eighth with 27 points.
Head to Head Record: The side from Melbourne have dominated this rivalry with 29 wins and 14 draws, while 12 matches have gone Wellington's way.
Teams Preview
Melbourne Victory FC Preview
Ahead of this crucial clash, Melbourne Victory receive a timely boost with the return of midfielder Louis D'Arrigo, who last featured against Wellington Phoenix and made a decisive impact with the winning goal.
Victory will also be eyeing a season sweep, having already won both meetings against Wellington this campaign. They arrive in strong form, unbeaten in their last seven league matches (W4 D3), scoring two or more goals in five of them—including emphatic 4-1 wins over Macarthur and Central Coast Mariners in the last two outings.
With momentum firmly on their side, coach Arthur Diles will be expecting nothing less than a win. A victory here could see them leapfrog Adelaide United into third place in the standings.
Melbourne Victory Probable XI - Duncan (GK); Joshua Rawlins, Roderick Miranda , Esposito, Mamur, Jordi Valadon, Louis D'Arrigo, Santos Rodrigues, Juan Mata, Nishan Velupillay, Nduka
Wellington Phoenix FC Preview
Wellington Phoenix went into the post-break phase with renewed momentum, having secured back-to-back wins and remaining unbeaten in their last three matches. A hard-fought 1-1 draw against top-four side Adelaide United highlighted their resilience, while victories over Perth Glory and Brisbane Roar boosted confidence.
The win over Perth also snapped a frustrating run of three straight home defeats and six winless games on home soil, while their latest result ended a brief three-match winless stretch. With this upturn in form, Wellington remain firmly in the hunt for a Finals Series spot, sitting just four points behind sixth-placed Macarthur FC with four games to go.
Wellington Phoenix Probable XI - Oluwayemi (GK); Edwards, Isaac Hughes, Tuiloma, Payne, Alex Rufer, Kazuki Nagasawa, Najjarine, Retre, Ifeanyi Eze, Corban Piper.
MELBOURNE VICTORY FC vs WELLINGTON PHOENIX FC
Winning PredictionMelbourne Victory head into this clash as clear favourites, riding on a strong unbeaten run and having picked up more points than any other team in the last five match weeks. They also hold the upper hand in this fixture, winning four of their last five meetings against Wellington Phoenix.
That said, Wellington cannot be overlooked. Their recent away form has been commendable, collecting 11 points from their last six matches and losing just once. Still, home advantage could prove decisive, especially with Victory boasting the best home record in the league this season. All things considered, the edge goes to Melbourne Victory to come out on top.
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