Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A-League Men 2025-26, Today Match Prediction
Melbourne Victory FC
Wellington Phoenix FC
Resurgent Victory target third straight win as unpredictable Phoenix land at AAMI Park
- Wellington Phoenix sit 8th with 11 points from 9 games, scoring 13 and conceding 15
- Melbourne Victory are 9th, also on 11 points, with a 7:12 goals record but back-to-back league wins
- Victory have taken 7 points from their last three matches, while Wellington have lost three of their last five league outings
Melbourne Victory to win
| Tournament: | A-League Men 2025-26 |
| Venue: | AAMI Park (Melbourne) |
Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC Match Prediction & Analysis
Melbourne Victory host Wellington Phoenix at AAMI Park in a vital A-League Men clash between two sides separated only by goal difference. Victory are looking to continue a mini-revival and push towards the top six, while Wellington aim to bounce back immediately after a setback against Central Coast and consolidate their upper-mid-table position.
Head-to-Head (Last 5 matches)
Recent head-to-head meetings have been very tight. Across the last five A-League clashes, Melbourne Victory hold a good edge with three wins, Wellington have one victory and there have been one draw.
The most recent encounter in April 2025 ended 3-2 to Melbourne Victory in Wellington, while the November 2024 meeting finished 1-0 to the Phoenix, underlining how often this fixture is decided by a single goal.
Teams Preview
Melbourne Victory FC Preview
Victory currently occupy 9th place with 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats, and a -5 goal difference from 7:12.
Their form has improved dramatically in December, with a 1-0 derby win away at Melbourne City following a 2-1 home victory against Adelaide United and a battling 0-0 draw at Macarthur, after earlier losses to Brisbane Roar and Sydney FC.
Defensively, Victory have tightened up, conceding just once across their last three league fixtures after shipping multiple goals earlier in the season. The key question is whether their attack can maintain its recent efficiency against a Wellington side that, despite mixed results, still carries considerable threat going forward.
Predicted XI:
Duncan; Davidson, Roderick, Esposito, Rawlins; Valadon, D'Arrigo; Clarismario, Mata, Velupillay; Vergos
Wellington Phoenix FC Preview
Victory currently occupy 9th place with 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats, and a -5 goal difference from 7:12.
Their form has improved dramatically in December, with a 1-0 derby win away at Melbourne City following a 2-1 home victory against Adelaide United and a battling 0-0 draw at Macarthur, after earlier losses to Brisbane Roar and Sydney FC.
Defensively, Victory have tightened up, conceding just once across their last three league fixtures after shipping multiple goals earlier in the season. The key question is whether their attack can maintain its recent efficiency against a Wellington side that, despite mixed results, still carries considerable threat going forward.
Predicted XI:
Oluwayemi; Hughes, James, Kelly-Heald; Sheridan, Nagasawa, Rufer, Najjarine, Armientio; Eze, Piper
MELBOURNE VICTORY FC vs WELLINGTON PHOENIX FC
Winning PredictionMomentum currently favours Melbourne Victory, whose tightened defence and consecutive wins over Adelaide and City suggest they are finally finding balance at both ends of the pitch.
Wellington’s attacking quality means they are capable of exploiting any lapses, but given their recent defensive record and Victory’s strong run, the hosts appear slightly better placed to edge another close contest at AAMI Park.
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