Newcastle United vs Chelsea FC, English Premier League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction
Newcastle United
Chelsea FC
Magpies Tested by In-Form Chelsea After Derby Frustration
- Newcastle United are unbeaten in their last five home games (4 W, 1 D).
- Chelsea won three and lost two of their last five away games.
- The average total goals per game in the last five meetings between these teams is 3.4.
We predict a draw (1-1)
| Tournament: | English Premier League 2025-26 |
| Venue: | St. James Park, Newcastle |
Newcastle United vs Chelsea FC Match Prediction & Analysis
Stung by a point-less Tyne and Wear derby against Sunderland, Newcastle United return to St James’ Park seeking a response, but the challenge doesn’t get any easier as they face Maresca’s Chelsea.
The Blues arrive in a confident mood after a productive week, brushing aside Everton 2-0 in the league before cruising past Cardiff City 3-1 in the Carabao Cup. With momentum firmly on the visitors’ side, the Magpies face a stern examination of character on Saturday.
Current Standings: The numbers paint a worrying picture for Eddie Howe’s Newcastle United, languishing in 12th with just 22 points to show for their efforts so far. Chelsea, by contrast, are cruising in fourth place on 28 points.
Head-to-Head Record: Chelsea have gotten the better of Newcastle in the head-to-head battles with a win-loss record of 31-16 in 60 matches with 13 draws.
Teams Preview
Newcastle United Preview
Just when the Magpies appeared to have steadied themselves with a four-game unbeaten run across competitions, they came crashing back to earth against Sunderland, undone by an own goal. What made it more frustrating was the flat, slow-burn nature of the contest as neither side looked intent on forcing the issue.
Newcastle were particularly uninspiring, scraping together a meagre 0.24 xG and only two shots on target from four attempts—hardly the response of a side chasing the game.
The defeat underlined Newcastle’s stop-start season. Strong at home with four wins from their last five, the Magpies have struggled badly away, losing four of five—but the return to St James’ Park against Chelsea offers timely comfort which they need to capitalise upon.
Stats that matter
1. The Sunderland loss was the first time in the last nine Premier League matches that the Magpies have failed to score.
2. Newcastle haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last nine games in the League, equalling their longest run without one in the competition under Howe.
3. At home this season, the Magpies are averaging 2 goals per game in their last five matches in the league.
Team News
Eddie Howe is juggling a growing injury list ahead of Newcastle’s Carabao Cup clash with Fulham and the weekend’s Premier League test. Dan Burn has joined the likes of Sven Botman and Kieran Trippier to the injury list, while Nick Pope—expected to feature against Sunderland—is now only tipped to return around the Boxing Day meeting with Manchester United.
Newcastle United Probable XI - Ramsdale (GK); Fabian Schar, Thiaw, Livermento, Schar (Defenders) ; Miley, Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes (Midfielders); Barnes/Elanga, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon (Forwards).
Chelsea FC Preview
Chelsea, in contrast, head into the clash brimming with momentum after a 2-0 league win over Everton and a 3-1 Carabao Cup quarterfinal triumph against Cardiff, snapping a three-game winless run. Fans also got a boost seeing Cole Palmer return from injury to score against Everton, while Alejandro Garnacho, finding his form, netted a brace in the cup tie.
Chelsea’s task now is to build on their momentum and string together wins, with the race for the top tight—teams from fourth to seventh are separated by just two points. However, success at St James’ Park has eluded them of late, a record they’ll need to fix before facing Aston Villa next.
Stats that matter
1. No side except Arsenal have kept more clean sheets than Chelsea (8) in the league this season.
2. Chelsea have kept four clean sheets in the last five away games in the league.
3. Pedro Neto has been involved in more Premier League goals (8) than any other Chelsea player this season ( 5 goals & 3 assists).
Team News
Chelsea will be without Estevao and Liam Delap for the trip to Newcastle, the former sidelined by a muscle issue that ruled him out of the Carabao Cup win over Cardiff. Moises Caicedo, however, returns to the fold after serving his three-match suspension.
Chelsea Probable XI - Sanchez (GL); Marc Cucurella, Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Gusto (Defenders); Palmer, Caicedo, Enzo Fernandez (Midfielders); Garnacho, Neto, Joao Pedro.
NEWCASTLE UNITED vs CHELSEA FC
Winning PredictionThe Chelsea–Newcastle matchup has long favoured the hosts, with the home side winning 62% of meetings. Newcastle, in particular, have made St James’ Park a fortress—15 of their 16 wins over Chelsea have come there, including a three-game home winning streak capped by a 2-0 victory. With Chelsea struggling on their travels after a loss to Leeds and a goalless draw at Bournemouth, the Magpies look slight favourites, though a draw remains firmly in play.
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