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Vietnam vs Philippines, ASEAN Championship, 2026, Today Match Prediction

Si Jalak Harupat Stadium
Vietnam
Philippines

Pakistan Aim to Overturn Head-to-Head History Against Thailand

  • Vietnam have historically had the upper hand in this fixture
  • Philippines held them to a 1-1 draw in their most recent meeting.
  • Vietnam average 2.6 goals per game, Philippines average 1.3 goals per game.
Vietnam to win (2-1).
Tournament: ASEAN Championship, 2026
Venue: Si Jalak Harupat Stadium
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Vietnam vs Philippines Match Prediction & Analysis

Vietnam begin their FIFA ASEAN Cup campaign against the Philippines on September 26 at Si Jalak Harupat Stadium in Bandung. The defending ASEAN champions will look to start strongly, while the Philippines, featuring a largely foreign-based squad, will aim to produce a competitive challenge.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last six matches, Vietnam have won 5, draw 1, Philippines have won 0 , lost 5, and 1 draw.

Teams Preview

Vietnam Preview

Vietnam and Thailand meet again after a dramatic 2–2 draw in the second leg of the 2026 ASEAN Championship final. Vietnam twice recovered from going behind, with Thailand’s late comeback ultimately ending in a second own goal in stoppage time. Vietnam won the tie 4–2 on aggregate after their 2–0 first-leg victory in Bangkok. 

The result also extended Vietnam’s successful title defence, while Thailand showed they could create problems for the champions, particularly in the first half. Yotsakon Burapha opened the scoring in the 12th minute, before Vietnam levelled through an own goal. Wanchai Jarunongkran restored Thailand’s lead late on, but his own goal in stoppage time secured the 2–2 draw for Vietnam.

With both sides now drawn together in Group B of the FIFA ASEAN Cup, the rematch on 29 September gives Thailand another opportunity against the reigning regional champions. Vietnam have largely retained their championship-winning core, while Thailand have named a considerably different and more experienced squad for the new competition.

Vietnam had 35% possession in the 2–2 draw with Thailand, showing that they were able to get a result despite spending less time on the ball.

Vietnam registered 13 total shots and created 3 big chances, showing their ability to generate dangerous attacking opportunities and maintain a consistent threat in the final third.

Vietnam completed 253 passes, reflecting their ability to maintain circulation and build attacks through controlled passing sequences.

Team News

Nguyen Quang Hai is ruled out after suffering a left-ankle injury. Van Vi is also unavailable with a calf-muscle tear, while centre-back Thanh Chung is out with health issues.

Vietnam Probable starting Lineup

GK: Patrik Le Giang

DEF: Pham Xuan Manh, Nguyen Thanh Chung, Doan Van Hau

MID: Truong Tien Anh, Nguyen Hoang Duc, Nguyen Quang Hai, Phan Tuan Tai

FWD: Do Hoang Hen, Nguyen Dinh Bac, Nguyen Xuan Son

Philippines Preview

The Philippines faced a difficult challenge against Malaysia in their final Group B match of the 2026 ASEAN Championship. Malaysia took the lead through Pavithran Gunalan's 16th-minute header, and the Philippines pushed for an equaliser but could not find a breakthrough.

The Philippines created several opportunities, including efforts from Jarvey Gayoso, Javier Mariona, Aysar Hadi and Pocholo Bugas, but Malaysia's defence held firm. The result ended the Philippines' campaign, while Malaysia advanced to the semi-finals.

The Philippines' midfielder Sandro Reyes later said the tournament was a learning experience, particularly after the team started poorly and then improved as the competition progressed.

The Philippines recorded 41% possession, showing they had meaningful spells of control and were able to build attacks despite spending less time on the ball overall.

The Philippines registered 3 total shots, highlighting the difficulty they had in creating attacking opportunities and testing the opposition defence.

The Philippines completed 328 passes, reflecting their ability to circulate the ball and maintain possession through controlled passing sequences.

Team News

The Philippines have bolstered their squad with several overseas-based players, including new defensive options Isaiah Alakiu and Angelo Bruckner. Sandro Reyes, Christian Rontini and Scott Woods also return after featuring at the 2026 Asian Games.

Philippines Probable starting Lineup

GK: Patrick Deyto

DEF: Adrian Ugelvik, Christian Rontini, Daisuke Sato

MID: Javier Mariona, Oskari Kekkonen, Gavin Muens, Kenji Nishioka

FWD: Sandro Reyes, Cole Mrowka, Jarvey Gayoso

VIETNAM vs PHILIPPINES

Winning Prediction

Vietnam head into this FIFA ASEAN Cup clash against the Philippines with a clear advantage in squad strength, recent form and home support. The Philippines’ overseas-based players could make the contest competitive, but Vietnam’s attacking quality and experience give them the edge.

Bookmakers strongly favour Vietnam, with Vietnam priced at around 1.33, the draw at 4.75 and the Philippines at 6.25, highlighting the hosts’ advantage. Based on the teams’ strength, recent momentum and the odds, a Vietnam victory appears the most likely outcome.

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Author: Vishnu Reddy