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China vs Iran, Basketball Mens Asian Games, 2026, Today Match Prediction

Aichi International Arena
China
Iran

Can China topple Iran?

  • China averages 100.0% home wins, with 93.0 points per game.
  • Iran averages 72.0 points per game.
  • In the last five matches, China have 4 wins, 1 loss, Iran have won 1, 4 losses.
China to win.
Tournament: Basketball Mens Asian Games, 2026
Live Streaming: DAZN
Venue: Aichi International Arena
Tip Off: 13:10:00
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China vs Iran Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
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China vs Iran Match Prediction & Analysis

China and Iran will meet on September 20 in the Asian Games bronze-medal game. China will look to respond after their semifinal defeat to Japan, while Iran will aim to recover from their loss to South Korea. Both teams will need stronger shooting, rebounding and defensive execution to finish with a medal.

In their last five head-to-head matchup, China has won 5 matches, while Iran has won 0 matches.

China vs Iran Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Hu Jinqiu 13.3 6.4 0.8 0.4/0.5
Mohammad Jamshidi Jafarabadi 6.0 1.5 2.5 1.0/0.0

Teams Preview

China Preview

China will look to bounce back after their 77–97 defeat to Japan.

Hu Jinqiu came up big offensively, contributing 16 points, 2 rebounds, while teammate Cui Yongxi added 13 points, 6 rebounds. Pang Zhenglin with 8 points, 2 rebounds. Li Hongquan defended the paint with 13 rebounds, 9 points, and 1 assist.

Offensively, China shot 37.8% from the field including 28.0% from deep, and 93.3% from the free throw line, with 15 assists. On the defensive end they got outrebounded 41-47, with 2 steals, 3 blocks.

China’s 97–77 loss to Japan highlights areas they need to improve before their upcoming match. They will need to tighten their perimeter defense, control Japan’s pace and improve offensive efficiency. The defeat could also increase their urgency to start strongly and maintain consistency throughout the game.

Iran Preview

Iran will look to respond after their 51–77 semifinal loss to South Korea.

Mohammad Jamshidi Jafarabadi drove the game forward, scoring 12 points, 2 assists, Mohammad Mahdi Heydari added 9 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists. Mobin Sheikhi put up 6 points, 2 assists. Arsalan Kazemi defended the paint with 8 points, 11 rebounds, 3 assists.

Offensively, Iran scored 25.5% from the field goal, including 8.7% from the three-point line and 70.0% from the free throw line, with 13 assists. Defensively, they secured the board 39-36, with 9 steals, and 2 blocks.

Iran’s 77–51 loss to South Korea means they now move into the bronze-medal game on September 20. The defeat highlights major offensive concerns, particularly their poor outside shooting, so Iran will need better shot selection, ball movement and scoring efficiency to respond.

China vs Iran Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Wang Junjie
SG Liao Sanning
SF Hu Jinqiu
PF Li Hongquan
C Yu Jiahao

Position Player Name
PG Mohammad Jamshidi Jafarabadi
SG Mobin Sheikhi
SF Mohammad Mahdi Heydari
PF Arsalan Kazemi
C Salar Monji

CHINA vs IRAN

Winning Prediction

China could have the advantage heading into the bronze-medal game, with their stronger recent form and balanced offensive options. Iran will look to bounce back with improved shooting and defensive intensity. The contest should be competitive, but China are predicted to have the edge.

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Author: Vishnu Reddy