Japan vs South Korea, Basketball Mens Asian Games, 2026, Today Match Prediction
Japan
South Korea
Can South Korea outclass Japan?
- Japan averages 55.6% home wins, with 82.0 points per game.
- South Korea averages 65.5 points per game.
- In the last five matches, Japan have 5 wins, 0 losses, and South Korea have won 4, 1 loss.
South Korea to win.
| Tournament: | Basketball Mens Asian Games, 2026 |
| Live Streaming: | DAZN |
| Venue: | Aichi International Arena |
| Tip Off: | 16:10:00 |
Japan vs South Korea Basteball Odds
| Bookmaker | Team A | Team B |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | NA | NA |
Japan vs South Korea Match Prediction & Analysis
Japan and South Korea meet again in the Asian Games men's basketball final on September 20. South Korea already defeated Japan in the group stage, but Japan responded by reaching the semifinals after beating Chinese Taipei.
South Korea enter the final after a strong win over Iran, with Lee Hyun-jung providing a major scoring threat. Japan will need to improve its defense and contain South Korea’s perimeter shooting.
In their last four head-to-head matchups, Japan has won 2 matches, while South Korea has won 2 matches.
Japan vs South Korea Player Stats
| Player Name | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Steals/Blocks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ren Kanechika | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.5/0.5 |
| Lee Hyun Jung | 19.8 | 7.6 | 3.0 | 1.2/0.4 |
Teams Preview
Japan Preview
Japan enter the matchup with confidence after their strong offensive performance against China
Ren Kanechika came up big offensively, contributing 19 points, 3 assists, 4 rebounds, while teammate Alex Kirk added 15 points, 12 rebounds, 3 assists. Atsuya Ogawa with 11 points, 5 rebounds, 9 assists. Yuto Kawashima defended the paint with 5 rebounds, 6 points, 3 assists.
Offensively, Japan shot 48.8% from the field including 40.0% from deep, and 55.6% from the free throw line, with 27 assists. On the defensive end they outrebounded 47-41, with 6 steals, 3 blocks.
The win should give Japan strong momentum heading into their next game. Their offense was effective against China, while the result also confirms they can handle a high-level opponent. Japan can carry that confidence forward, but they will need to maintain their defensive intensity and shooting efficiency in the final.
South Korea Preview
South Korea head into their next matchup with strong momentum after defeating Iran.
Lee Hyun Jung drove the game forward, scoring 26 points, 14 rebounds, 4 assists, Lee Jung Hyun added 11 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists. Choi Jun Yong put up 3 points, 2 rebounds, 2 assists. Lee Woo Suk defended the paint with 19 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists.
Offensively, South Korea scored 44.1% from the field goal, including 42.4% from the three-point line and 73.3% from the free throw line, with 22 assists. Defensively, they fell short on the board 39-36, with 5 steals, and 2 blocks.
The result gives South Korea significant momentum heading into the final. Their defense was particularly strong, while their perimeter shooting and Lee Hyun-jung’s scoring created a major offensive threat. However, they will need to limit turnovers and stay composed against either Japan or China.
Japan vs South Korea Starting Lineups
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Kotetsu Kurokawa |
| SG | Yudai Nishida |
| SF | Rem Kanechika |
| PF | Yuta Watanabe |
| C | Josh Hawkinson |
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Lee Hyun Jung |
| SG | Lee Jung Hyun |
| SF | Lee Woo Suk |
| PF | Choi Jun Yong |
| C | Lee Seung Hyun |
JAPAN vs SOUTH KOREA
Winning PredictionSouth Korea have the stronger recent head-to-head momentum, having beaten Japan in the group stage and then reached the final with a convincing semifinal win over Iran. Japan will have confidence after their semifinal victory over China, so a competitive final is expected.
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