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Montenegro vs Greece, Fiba Basketball World Cup 2027, European Qualifiers, Today Match Prediction

Podgorica, Moraca Sports Centre
Montenegro
Greece

Montenegro look to extend their good run of form against Greece

  • Montenegro is currently ranked 16th in the world rankings.
  • Iceland is currently ranked 33rd in the world rankings.
  • Greece is currently ranked 7th in the world rankings — among Europe's elite basketball nations.
Montenegro to Win and cover the spread (-3.0).
Tournament: Fiba Basketball World Cup 2027, European Qualifiers
Live Streaming: Courtside 1891
Venue: Podgorica, Moraca Sports Centre
Tip Off: 21:30:00
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Montenegro vs Greece Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
1xBet 2.08 1.73

Montenegro vs Greece Match Prediction & Analysis

Montenegro host Greece on March 2, 2026, at the Moraca Sports Centre in Podgorica a return leg that now carries Group B's top spot as the prize. Both teams sit at 2-1 following Montenegro's stunning 67-65 road win in Athens. For Montenegro, a win at home completes a historic back-to-back sweep of Greece and all but guarantees a Second Round berth. For Greece, a win ties the series and restores order a loss eliminates any possibility of Group B leadership and puts Portugal in the driving seat.

Both Montenegro and Greece are 2-1 in Group B — level with Portugal. The winner of Monday's game moves into Group B's driving seat with two games remaining in July.

Montenegro have now beaten Greece twice consecutively — 73-69 (2023 World Cup) and 67-65 (Athens, Feb 27, 2026). The psychological shift is real and significant.

Montenegro vs Greece Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Zoran Nikolic 19.0 6.0 3.0 1.4/0.0
Kostas Antetokounmpo 13.0 5.5 3.0 0.5/0.0

Teams Preview

Montenegro Preview

Montenegro arrive home in Podgorica having pulled off back-to-back upsets of Greece a genuinely historic moment for Montenegrin basketball. In Athens, it was all about execution in crunch moments. Derek Needham, the experienced playmaker, ran two perfect pick-and-roll actions in the final possession to manufacture a 67-65 win. 

Zoran Nikolic was the leading scorer with 19 points and 6 rebounds, while Hadzibegovic added 10 points and the all-important final basket. Now at 2-1 and hosting the return leg at home in the passionate Moraca Sports Centre one of the most intimidating arenas in the Balkans Montenegro have every reason to believe they can complete one of the great Group B sweeps and take firm control of their Second Round destiny.

Montenegro on average score 71.0 points per game, shoot 47.8% from two and 22.6% from three, grab 39.0 rebounds per game and shoot 81.8% from the free throw line strongest in this matchup.

Greece Preview

Greece arrive in Podgorica wounded, humiliated, and desperately searching for answers. Losing 67-65 at home in the electric SUNEL Arena a venue they have historically dominated to a Montenegro side they were widely expected to beat comfortably is a result that has shaken the program. Coach Vassilis Spanoulis will have had 72 hours to recalibrate, and this team has too much quality to panic. 

Kostas Antetokounmpo led with 13 points in the Athens loss, while Giannoulis Larentzakis and Alexandros Samodurov both had quieter games than expected by their standards a combination that cannot happen again away from home. 

Greece's EuroBasket bronze medal pedigree, elite three-point shooting (39.4%), and superior scoring output (83.5 ppg vs 71.0) mean they remain the technically superior team. But they must now win on the road in a hostile Podgorica crowd, where Montenegro's defensive intensity and Needham's ice-cold playmaking will be even more dangerous.

Greece on average score 83.5 points per game, shoot 58.6% from two and 39.4% from three, and dish 24.0 assists per game — the best in Group B.

Montenegro vs Greece Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Derek Needham
SG Kendrick Perry
SF Aleksa Ilic
PF Emir Hadzibegovic
C Zoran Nikolic

Position Player Name
PG Giannoulis Larentzakis
SG Panagiotis Kalaitzakis
SF Naz Mitrou-Long
PF Alexandros Samodurov
C Kostas Antetokounmpo

MONTENEGRO vs GREECE

Winning Prediction

Montenegro are on the form of their lives two straight upsets of Greece, home court in Podgorica, and Needham operating as the best late-game orchestrator in Group B. Greece have the superior squad on paper, but "on paper" has meant nothing in this series. Montenegro's defensive discipline, free throw execution (81.8%) and home crowd advantage make them the narrow favorites to complete a historic sweep. 

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Author: Eeshan Chettri